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Borgosesia Calcio vs Fezzanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Bruccini M.

AI Match Summary

Fezzanese in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fezzanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Borgosesia Calcio
35%
Draws
40%
Fezzanese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fezzanese have won more games recently than Borgosesia Calcio.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 24%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgosesia Calcio Fezzanese
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 2 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.54 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Fezzanese
0:1
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Borgosesia Calcio
2:0
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Fezzanese
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:0
Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Borgosesia Calcio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruccini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgosesia Calcio 33 / 100
Fezzanese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgosesia Calcio Fezzanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fezzanese conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Borgosesia Calcio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Borgosesia Calcio's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Borgosesia Calcio VS Fezzanese
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.67 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgosesia Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0
AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
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Fezzanese

(Away)
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)