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Borgosesia Calcio vs Imperia Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gerbino S.
23' Event
Berni A.
28' Event
Cum G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Borgosesia Calcio and Imperia Calcio finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borgosesia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Borgosesia Calcio
20%
Draws
46%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Imperia Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Borgosesia Calcio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgosesia Calcio Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Imperia Calcio
4:2
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Imperia Calcio
1:0
Oct 16, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:3
Feb 20, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Borgosesia Calcio
3:1
Oct 3, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Imperia Calcio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Berni A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gerbino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgosesia Calcio 31 / 100
Imperia Calcio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgosesia Calcio Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Imperia Calcio conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Borgosesia Calcio's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Borgosesia Calcio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Borgosesia Calcio VS Imperia Calcio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgosesia Calcio

(Home)
01 Nov
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 3
Alessandria
25 Oct
Asti Calcio
0 : 3
Borgosesia Calcio
18 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
4 : 2
Imperia Calcio
11 Oct
Millesimo
3 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 6

Imperia Calcio

(Away)
01 Nov
Sanremese
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
25 Oct
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Celle Varazze
18 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
4 : 2
Imperia Calcio
11 Oct
Imperia Calcio
2 : 1
AS Biellese
04 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)