Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Borgosesia Calcio vs Lavagnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Henin G.
65' Event
Colombo G.
90' Event
Masini F.

AI Match Summary

Borgosesia Calcio in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Borgosesia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Borgosesia Calcio
30%
Draws
12%
Lavagnese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Borgosesia Calcio haven't matched Lavagnese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Borgosesia Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgosesia Calcio Lavagnese
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 2 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.54 1
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Lavagnese
2:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Borgosesia Calcio
2:0
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Borgosesia Calcio
0:4
Mar 19, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Lavagnese
2:0
Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Borgosesia Calcio
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Henin G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colombo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lavagnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Masini F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgosesia Calcio 85 / 100
Lavagnese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgosesia Calcio Lavagnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavagnese let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Borgosesia Calcio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Lavagnese's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Borgosesia Calcio VS Lavagnese
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgosesia Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0
AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Lavagnese

(Away)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)