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Borislav Parvomay vs Zagorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2022/2023 game between Borislav Parvomay and Zagorets finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zagorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Borislav Parvomay
15%
Draws
76%
Zagorets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zagorets come out ahead of Borislav Parvomay on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zagorets a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zagorets have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 17%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borislav Parvomay Zagorets
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2023 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Zagorets
0:4
Nov 26, 2022 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Borislav Parvomay
3:0
May 7, 2022 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Borislav Parvomay
7:0
Oct 30, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Zagorets
1:3
May 8, 2021 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Borislav Parvomay
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borislav Parvomay 15 / 100
Zagorets 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borislav Parvomay Zagorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Zagorets has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Borislav Parvomay found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Borislav Parvomay remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zagorets
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Borislav Parvomay

(Home)
31 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 4
Zagorets
27 May
Karnobat
3 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
20 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Rozova Dolina
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
10 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Atletik Kuklen
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Zagorets

(Away)
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Zagorets
15 Aug
Zagorets
1 : 4
Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 26 5 7 84:32 83
2 Chernomorets 1919 38 24 8 6 82:26 80
3 Gigant Saedinenie 38 23 9 6 69:28 78
4 Zagorets 38 22 10 6 64:19 76
5 OFC Haskovo 38 20 9 9 68:36 69
6 Rozova Dolina 38 20 8 10 66:29 68
7 Spartak Plovdiv 38 19 8 11 73:43 65
8 Asenovets 38 19 7 12 69:41 64
9 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 20 4 14 57:33 64
10 Yambol 1915 38 16 9 13 57:48 57
11 Rodopa Smolyan 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
12 Dimitrovgrad 38 16 4 18 52:54 52
13 Sokol Markovo 38 15 3 20 54:58 48
14 Levski Karlovo 38 12 6 20 45:69 42
15 Karnobat 38 11 8 19 37:57 41
16 Beroe II 38 11 4 23 45:74 37
17 Atletik Kuklen 38 11 3 24 37:83 36
18 Sliven 38 10 6 22 58:93 36
19 Borislav Parvomay 38 5 6 27 34:92 21
20 Vereya 38 2 0 36 24:163 6
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)