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Borja vs Almudevar Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Taboada E.
11' Event
Ainoza M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 game between Borja and Almudevar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Borja
15%
Draws
85%
Almudevar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almudevar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Borja haven't matched Almudevar's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Almudevar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Borja Clean Sheet 22%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borja Almudevar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.4 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Borja
3:1
Feb 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Almudevar
1:1
Jan 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Borja
1:1
Jan 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Almudevar
0:0
Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Borja
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borja Compare

Top Goalscorer Taboada E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Almudevar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borja 10 / 100
Almudevar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borja Almudevar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almudevar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Almudevar conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Borja scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Almudevar's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Almudevar
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Borja

(Home)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

Almudevar

(Away)
26 Sept
Atletico Monzon
2 : 1
Almudevar
20 Sept
Almudevar
4 : 0
CD Belchite 97
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)