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Stadium Background

Borjomi vs Dusheti

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Gabisonia D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between Borjomi and Dusheti finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dusheti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Borjomi
15%
Draws
78%
Dusheti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dusheti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dusheti come out ahead of Borjomi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dusheti a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dusheti have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 20%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borjomi Dusheti
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.78
Goals Conceded 2 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Dusheti
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Borjomi
4:1
Sep 21, 2023 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Borjomi
6:1
Apr 27, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Dusheti
2:4
Sep 8, 2022 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Borjomi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borjomi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Dusheti Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabisonia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borjomi 12 / 100
Dusheti 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borjomi Dusheti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Borjomi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Dusheti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 37 matches.

Recent resilience: Borjomi stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dusheti
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Borjomi

(Home)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
Page 1 of 6

Dusheti

(Away)
08 Aug
Dusheti
2 : 4
Samtredia
02 Aug
Guria
1 : 2
Dusheti
25 Jul
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 1
Dusheti
17 Jul
Dusheti
4 : 3
Urartu
25 Jun
Zooveti Tbilisi
0 : 2
Dusheti
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shturmi 30 21 7 2 68:22 70
2 Gori 30 20 7 3 58:28 67
3 Odishi 1919 30 20 4 6 59:19 64
4 Dusheti 30 19 6 5 79:35 63
5 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
6 WIT Georgia 30 14 10 6 64:32 52
7 Orbi 30 11 11 8 58:40 44
8 Didube 30 12 7 11 47:43 43
9 Merani Tbilisi 30 8 8 14 39:52 32
10 Betlemi Keda 30 7 8 15 43:71 29
11 FC Gardabani 30 8 5 17 37:67 29
12 Margveti 2006 30 7 7 16 36:71 28
13 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 8 3 19 43:68 27
14 Khobi 30 7 5 18 35:63 26
15 Borjomi 30 6 5 19 34:60 23
16 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 3 4 23 18:74 13
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)