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Borjomi vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Khabelashvili I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between Borjomi and FC Tbilisi 2025 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tbilisi 2025.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Borjomi
6%
Draws
90%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Tbilisi 2025

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Tbilisi 2025 come out ahead of Borjomi on wins alone.
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Tbilisi 2025 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borjomi FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 24
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 2
Goals Scored 0.5 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Liga 3
Borjomi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:1
May 8, 2025 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Borjomi
3:0
Nov 14, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:4
May 23, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Borjomi
3:4
Sep 14, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borjomi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khabelashvili I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borjomi 10 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borjomi FC Tbilisi 2025

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Borjomi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Tbilisi 2025 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Borjomi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Borjomi VS FC Tbilisi 2025
0.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shturmi30217268:2270
2Gori30207358:2867
3Odishi 191930204659:1964
4Dusheti30196579:3563
5FC Tbilisi 202530177659:3258
6WIT Georgia301410664:3252
7Orbi301111858:4044
8Didube301271147:4343
9Merani Tbilisi30881439:5232
10Betlemi Keda30781543:7129
11FC Gardabani30851737:6729
12Margveti 200630771636:7128
13Locomotive Tbilisi 230831943:6827
14Khobi30751835:6326
15Borjomi30651934:6023
16Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30342318:7413