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Borjomi vs Matchakhela

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Borjomi in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Borjomi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Borjomi
20%
Draws
40%
Matchakhela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Borjomi lately — more wins on the board than Matchakhela.
  • Model gives Borjomi a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 13%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borjomi Matchakhela
Matches Played 39 34
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.36 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Matchakhela
1:0
Mar 28, 2024 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Borjomi
1:0
Nov 15, 2023 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Borjomi
2:0
Aug 3, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Matchakhela
3:1
Oct 8, 2018 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Borjomi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borjomi 84 / 100
Matchakhela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borjomi Matchakhela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borjomi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matchakhela has conceded goals in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Borjomi found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (39 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Matchakhela has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Borjomi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Borjomi

(Home)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
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Matchakhela

(Away)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)