Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Borjomi vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Borjomi
20%
Draws
74%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merani Tbilisi lately — more wins on the board than Borjomi.
  • Win probability leans Merani Tbilisi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 18%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borjomi Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.37
Goals Conceded 2 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2025 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Merani Tbilisi
0:0
Apr 10, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Borjomi
2:2
Nov 7, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Borjomi
2:1
May 17, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Merani Tbilisi
0:0
Jul 2, 2017 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Borjomi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borjomi 10 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borjomi Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borjomi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Merani Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Borjomi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merani Tbilisi
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borjomi

(Home)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
Page 1 of 6

Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shturmi 30 21 7 2 68:22 70
2 Gori 30 20 7 3 58:28 67
3 Odishi 1919 30 20 4 6 59:19 64
4 Dusheti 30 19 6 5 79:35 63
5 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
6 WIT Georgia 30 14 10 6 64:32 52
7 Orbi 30 11 11 8 58:40 44
8 Didube 30 12 7 11 47:43 43
9 Merani Tbilisi 30 8 8 14 39:52 32
10 Betlemi Keda 30 7 8 15 43:71 29
11 FC Gardabani 30 8 5 17 37:67 29
12 Margveti 2006 30 7 7 16 36:71 28
13 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 8 3 19 43:68 27
14 Khobi 30 7 5 18 35:63 26
15 Borjomi 30 6 5 19 34:60 23
16 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 3 4 23 18:74 13
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)