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Borjomi vs Orbi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Topuria G.
57' Event
Kavtaradze Z.

AI Match Summary

Orbi in this Liga 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Borjomi
20%
Draws
64%
Orbi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Orbi have won more games recently than Borjomi.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Orbi taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Orbi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 15%
Orbi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borjomi Orbi
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.78
Goals Conceded 2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Orbi
0:2
Mar 27, 2025 Liga 3
Orbi vs Borjomi
3:0
Nov 29, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Orbi
1:4
Jun 5, 2024 Liga 3
Orbi vs Borjomi
2:2
Nov 26, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Orbi
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borjomi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Orbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Topuria G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kavtaradze Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borjomi 23 / 100
Orbi 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borjomi Orbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orbi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Borjomi scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Orbi let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Away concern: Orbi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orbi
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Borjomi

(Home)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
Page 1 of 6

Orbi

(Away)
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2
Orbi
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shturmi 30 21 7 2 68:22 70
2 Gori 30 20 7 3 58:28 67
3 Odishi 1919 30 20 4 6 59:19 64
4 Dusheti 30 19 6 5 79:35 63
5 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
6 WIT Georgia 30 14 10 6 64:32 52
7 Orbi 30 11 11 8 58:40 44
8 Didube 30 12 7 11 47:43 43
9 Merani Tbilisi 30 8 8 14 39:52 32
10 Betlemi Keda 30 7 8 15 43:71 29
11 FC Gardabani 30 8 5 17 37:67 29
12 Margveti 2006 30 7 7 16 36:71 28
13 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 8 3 19 43:68 27
14 Khobi 30 7 5 18 35:63 26
15 Borjomi 30 6 5 19 34:60 23
16 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 3 4 23 18:74 13
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)