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Borneo vs PSBS Biak Numfor

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
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Match Events

12'
Sub
Cleylton In: Teguh K.
Out: Cleylton
29' Event
Peralta M.
Assist: Obieta K.
32' Event
Hassan M.
Assist: Pablo Andrade

AI Match Summary

Borneo in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Borneo
15%
Draws
0%
PSBS Biak Numfor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borneo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Borneo lately — more wins on the board than PSBS Biak Numfor.
  • Model gives Borneo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Borneo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Borneo Clean Sheet 68%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borneo PSBS Biak Numfor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.34
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs PSBS Biak Numfor
5:1
Aug 18, 2025 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Borneo
0:1
Mar 6, 2025 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Borneo
1:0
Oct 25, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs PSBS Biak Numfor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Villa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.93
Avg xA / game 1.91

PSBS Biak Numfor Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borneo 95 / 100
PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borneo PSBS Biak Numfor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borneo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borneo's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

PSBS Biak Numfor let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: PSBS Biak Numfor registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Borneo VS PSBS Biak Numfor
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 5.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Borneo

(Home)
20 Sept
Borneo
1 : 0
Bali United
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
12 Sept
Persijap Jepara
0 : 1
Borneo
05 Sept
Borneo
0 : 1
Persija Jakarta
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3
Madura United
Page 1 of 6

PSBS Biak Numfor

(Away)
27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
20 Sept
Persis Solo
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Sept
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Deltras Sidoarjo
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5
Arema FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)