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Borneo vs Semen Padang

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Teguh K.
28'
Gufron A.
35'
Meneses A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Borneo and Semen Padang finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Borneo
6%
Draws
4%
Semen Padang
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Borneo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Borneo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Borneo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Borneo Clean Sheet 68%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borneo Semen Padang
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 2.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs Semen Padang
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs Borneo
0:2
Jan 14, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Semen Padang
1:3
Aug 12, 2024 Super League
Semen Padang vs Borneo
1:3
Dec 17, 2019 Super League
Semen Padang vs Borneo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Teguh K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaio Nunes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Semen Padang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borneo 95 / 100
Semen Padang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borneo Semen Padang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Borneo scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Semen Padang has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Borneo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Semen Padang has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Borneo VS Semen Padang
2.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Borneo

(Home)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Malut United
17 May
Persijap Jepara
0 : 0
Borneo
11 May
Bali United
2 : 3
Borneo
05 May
Borneo
2 : 0
Persita
29 Apr
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Borneo
Page 1 of 7

Semen Padang

(Away)
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0
Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7
Persebaya
08 May
Semen Padang
0 : 3
Persik Kediri
03 May
Dewa United
1 : 0
Semen Padang
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1
Madura United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518
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