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Borneo vs Semen Padang

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Teguh K.
28'
Gufron A.
35'
Meneses A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Borneo and Semen Padang finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Borneo
15%
Draws
28%
Semen Padang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borneo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Borneo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Borneo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Borneo Clean Sheet 68%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borneo Semen Padang
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.93 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs Semen Padang
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs Borneo
0:2
Jan 14, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Semen Padang
1:3
Aug 12, 2024 Super League
Semen Padang vs Borneo
1:3
Dec 17, 2019 Super League
Semen Padang vs Borneo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Teguh K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaio Nunes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Semen Padang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borneo 95 / 100
Semen Padang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borneo Semen Padang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borneo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Borneo scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Semen Padang has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Semen Padang has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Borneo VS Semen Padang
2.38 Goals Scored 0.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borneo

(Home)
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
12 Sept
Persijap Jepara
0 : 1
Borneo
05 Sept
Borneo
0 : 1
Persija Jakarta
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3
Madura United
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
Page 1 of 6

Semen Padang

(Away)
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0
Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7
Persebaya
08 May
Semen Padang
0 : 3
Persik Kediri
03 May
Dewa United
1 : 0
Semen Padang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)