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Stadium Background

Bornheim vs Merten Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein game between Bornheim and Merten finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bornheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bornheim
15%
Draws
46%
Merten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Merten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Merten taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bornheim Clean Sheet 10%
Merten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bornheim Merten
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.17 2.87
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bornheim vs Merten
4:3
Feb 22, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bornheim vs Merten
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Bornheim
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bornheim 26 / 100
Merten 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bornheim Merten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bornheim scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Merten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Bornheim has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bornheim VS Merten
2.25 Goals Scored 4
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bornheim

(Home)
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
SpVg Porz 1919
2 : 0
Bornheim
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
06 Sept
Hennef
2 : 1
Bornheim
30 Aug
Bornheim
4 : 1
Konigsdorf
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Merten

(Away)
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 5 4 1 0 17:3 13
2 FC Wegberg-Beeck 5 4 1 0 15:4 13
3 Fortuna Koln II 4 3 0 1 12:7 9
4 VfL Vichttal 5 2 2 1 16:10 8
5 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 5 2 2 1 10:9 8
6 Merten 5 2 1 2 13:9 7
7 Hennef 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
8 Chlodwig Zulpich 5 2 1 2 11:16 7
9 FC Hurth 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
10 Bornheim 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
11 Frechen 5 1 2 2 11:12 5
12 Siegburger 5 1 2 2 9:12 5
13 SpVg Porz 1919 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
14 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
15 1. FC Duren 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
16 Konigsdorf 4 0 0 4 3:22 0
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