Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bornova 1877 vs Afyonspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bozkurt A. E.
Penalty Missed
39' Event
Akturk E.
Assist: Bozkurt A. E.
45' Event
Boga U. B.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Bornova 1877 and Afyonspor finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afyonspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bornova 1877
15%
Draws
59%
Afyonspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afyonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bornova 1877's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Afyonspor have produced (1.03).
  • Afyonspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Afyonspor have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bornova 1877 Clean Sheet 10%
Afyonspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bornova 1877 Afyonspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Bornova 1877 vs Afyonspor
1:3
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Afyonspor vs Bornova 1877
2:1
Sep 3, 2025 Turkish Cup
Bornova 1877 vs Afyonspor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bornova 1877 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoruk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Afyonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Akturk E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boga U. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bornova 1877 10 / 100
Afyonspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bornova 1877 Afyonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afyonspor let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Bornova 1877 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Bornova 1877 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bornova 1877 VS Afyonspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bornova 1877

(Home)
18 Apr
Bornova 1877
1 : 4
Balikesirspor
12 Apr
Kutahyaspor
2 : 0
Bornova 1877
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
29 Mar
Tire 2021 FK
2 : 4
Bornova 1877
24 Mar
Bornova 1877
2 : 3
Soke 1970
Page 1 of 7

Afyonspor

(Away)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Afyonspor
4 : 1
Tire 2021 FK
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
02 Apr
Soke 1970
5 : 2
Afyonspor
24 Mar
Afyonspor
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)