Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 4

Bornova 1877

2 - 3

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Gundogdu B.

Assist: Kunat M. F.

30'

Kuzey A.

Assist: Yilmaz B.

65'

Kunat M. F.

Assist: Calik Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Usak Belediyespor Kulubu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Bornova 1877

17%

Draws

70%

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu have won more games recently than Bornova 1877.
70% — that's where the model lands on Usak Belediyespor Kulubu taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Bornova 1877 Clean Sheet 10%

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bornova 1877	Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	15
Draws	5	3
Losses	20	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	3	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 3. Lig Group 4

Bornova 1877 vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Oct 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 4

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Bornova 1877

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bornova 1877 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuzey A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Abbak A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gundogdu B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kunat M. F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bornova 1877 14 / 100

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bornova 1877 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Bornova 1877 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bornova 1877 VS Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

1.25 Goals Scored 1

3 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 25%

63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kutahyaspor	30	24	3	3	69:18	75
2	Eskisehirspor	30	22	5	3	74:18	71
3	Karsiyaka	30	20	7	3	64:19	67
4	Ayvalikgucu	30	18	5	7	59:27	59
5	Balikesirspor	30	17	7	6	59:24	58
6	Usak Belediyespor Kulubu	30	15	3	12	35:35	48
7	Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu	30	14	5	11	37:33	47
8	Alanya 1221	30	10	8	12	28:33	38
9	Tire 2021 FK	30	10	7	13	47:39	37
10	Soke 1970	30	10	5	15	39:43	35
11	Eskisehir Anadolu	30	9	8	13	44:42	35
12	Altay	30	9	7	14	29:41	28
13	Izmir Coruhlu	30	6	5	19	28:66	23
14	Afyonspor	30	5	7	18	31:61	22
15	Bornova 1877	30	5	6	19	35:68	21
16	Nazillispor	30	0	4	26	7:118	4