Sport Picks
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League Bilino Polje, Zenica 
Match Events
32'
32'
Gigovic A.
38'
38'
Zalewski N.
42'
42'
Demirovic E.
AI Match Summary
Bosnia & Herzegovina in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bosnia & Herzegovina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Poland lately — more wins on the board than Bosnia & Herzegovina.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 68%
Poland Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
1:0
Sep 25, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
0:0
Oct 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
3:0
Sep 7, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
1:2
Dec 16, 2011 Friendly International
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bosnia & Herzegovina 50 / 100
Poland 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bosnia & Herzegovina Poland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bosnia & Herzegovina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bosnia & Herzegovina scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Poland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Bosnia & Herzegovina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bosnia & Herzegovina VS Poland
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Bosnia & Herzegovina
(Home) 05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0 Poland
02 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 1 Sweden
28 Sept
Romania
2 : 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0 Poland
02 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 1 Sweden
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1 Qatar
29 May
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0 : 0 North Macedonia
31 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2 : 1 Italy
Page 1 of 3
Poland
(Away) 05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0 Poland
02 Oct
Poland
6 : 0 Romania
28 Sept
Sweden
3 : 1 Poland
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2 Nigeria
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0 Poland
28 Sept
Sweden
3 : 1 Poland
31 Mar
Sweden
3 : 2 Poland
17 Nov
Malta
2 : 3 Poland
12 Oct
Lithuania
0 : 2 Poland
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
