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Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar Prediction & H2H Stats

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World Championship 2026 Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Alajbegovic K.
Assist: Basic I.
34' Event
Abunada M.
Own Goal
42' Event
Al Haydos H.
Assist: Edmilson Junior

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Qatar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
30%
Draws
41%
Qatar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bosnia & Herzegovina come out ahead of Qatar on wins alone.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Bosnia & Herzegovina taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bosnia & Herzegovina Qatar
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 World Championship
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar
3:1
Aug 10, 2010 Friendly International
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar
1:1
Jan 23, 2000 Friendly International
Qatar vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bosnia & Herzegovina Compare

Top Goalscorer Alajbegovic K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahmic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Qatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Haydos H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bosnia & Herzegovina 67 / 100
Qatar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bosnia & Herzegovina Qatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bosnia & Herzegovina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosnia & Herzegovina's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Qatar conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Bosnia & Herzegovina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bosnia & Herzegovina VS Qatar
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bosnia & Herzegovina

(Home)
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Switzerland
4 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6

Qatar

(Away)
27 Sept
Yemen
0 : 1
Qatar
24 Sept
Qatar
2 : 0
Bahrain
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1
Switzerland
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Turkey 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Curacao 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Cape Verde 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 D.R. Congo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams