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Bosque Formosa vs Candango

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2011
Bosque Formosa Logo

Bosque Formosa

5 - 2
FT
Candango Logo

Candango

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bosque Formosa in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bosque Formosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bosque Formosa
11%
Draws
9%
Candango
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bosque Formosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bosque Formosa lately — more wins on the board than Candango.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Bosque Formosa taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 18%
Candango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bosque Formosa Candango
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.13 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2011 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Candango
5:2
Feb 2, 2011 Brasiliense
Candango vs Bosque Formosa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bosque Formosa 76 / 100
Candango 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bosque Formosa Candango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Candango conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Candango registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bosque Formosa scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Bosque Formosa VS Candango
1.25 Goals Scored 0.57
2.13 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Bosque Formosa

(Home)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
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Candango

(Away)
11 Oct
Brasilia FC (DF)
6 : 0
Candango
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
28 Sept
Candango
0 : 7
Planaltina
20 Sept
Cruzeiro FC
5 : 0
Candango
14 Sept
Candango
3 : 4
Gremio Valparaiso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 10 4 0 27:8 34
2 Bosque Formosa 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
3 Botafogo DF 14 5 7 2 21:16 22
4 Gama 14 5 6 3 22:15 21
5 Ceilandia 14 5 6 3 19:16 21
6 Ceilandense 14 4 3 7 13:20 15
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
8 Candango 14 1 1 12 17:40 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 (Second stage)