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Bosque Formosa vs Paranoa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2020
Bosque Formosa Logo

Bosque Formosa

4 - 2
FT
Paranoa Logo

Paranoa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 game between Bosque Formosa and Paranoa finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bosque Formosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bosque Formosa
15%
Draws
85%
Paranoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paranoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paranoa come out ahead of Bosque Formosa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 16%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bosque Formosa Paranoa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2020 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Paranoa
4:2
Feb 25, 2018 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Bosque Formosa
1:1
Mar 19, 2017 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Paranoa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bosque Formosa 30 / 100
Paranoa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bosque Formosa Paranoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bosque Formosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosque Formosa's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paranoa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Paranoa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paranoa
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bosque Formosa

(Home)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

Paranoa

(Away)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 11 10 1 0 41:8 31
2 Brasiliense 11 9 1 1 38:7 28
3 Real Brasilia 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
4 Bosque Formosa 11 6 1 4 19:19 19
5 Taguatinga 11 5 3 3 18:15 18
6 Capital 11 3 6 2 15:12 15
7 Luziania 11 4 2 5 22:21 14
8 Sobradinho 11 4 1 6 13:24 13
9 Unai EC 11 3 2 6 19:22 11
10 Ceilandia 11 2 2 7 8:26 8
11 Ceilandense 11 0 3 8 1:27 3
12 Paranoa 11 0 2 9 8:37 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 (Play Offs)