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Bosque Formosa vs Samambaia

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2021
Bosque Formosa Logo

Bosque Formosa

1 - 6
FT
Samambaia Logo

Samambaia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Samambaia in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samambaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bosque Formosa
15%
Draws
85%
Samambaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samambaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Samambaia have won more games recently than Bosque Formosa.
  • Win probability leans Samambaia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 20%
Samambaia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bosque Formosa Samambaia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2021 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Samambaia
1:6
Feb 8, 2018 Brasiliense
Samambaia vs Bosque Formosa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
Samambaia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bosque Formosa Samambaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samambaia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Bosque Formosa's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Samambaia conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Samambaia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Samambaia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bosque Formosa

(Home)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

Samambaia

(Away)
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
12 Feb
ARUC
0 : 3
Samambaia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Gama 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Unai EC 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
4 Luziania 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
5 Real Brasilia 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
6 Samambaia 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 6 0 0 18:5 18
2 Capital 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
3 Ceilandia 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
5 Sobradinho 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
6 Bosque Formosa 6 0 0 6 7:21 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)