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Bosque Formosa vs Unai EC

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Campeonato Brasiliense 2020
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 game between Bosque Formosa and Unai EC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bosque Formosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bosque Formosa
15%
Draws
85%
Unai EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unai EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Unai EC's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Bosque Formosa have produced (1.37).
  • Model gives Unai EC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 10%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bosque Formosa Unai EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Bosque Formosa
4:3
Feb 2, 2020 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Unai EC
1:0
Feb 3, 2019 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Unai EC
1:1
Feb 13, 2018 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Unai EC
0:1
Apr 1, 2017 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Bosque Formosa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
Unai EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bosque Formosa Unai EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unai EC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Bosque Formosa's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Unai EC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bosque Formosa VS Unai EC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bosque Formosa

(Home)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
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Unai EC

(Away)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 11 10 1 0 41:8 31
2 Brasiliense 11 9 1 1 38:7 28
3 Real Brasilia 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
4 Bosque Formosa 11 6 1 4 19:19 19
5 Taguatinga 11 5 3 3 18:15 18
6 Capital 11 3 6 2 15:12 15
7 Luziania 11 4 2 5 22:21 14
8 Sobradinho 11 4 1 6 13:24 13
9 Unai EC 11 3 2 6 19:22 11
10 Ceilandia 11 2 2 7 8:26 8
11 Ceilandense 11 0 3 8 1:27 3
12 Paranoa 11 0 2 9 8:37 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 (Play Offs)