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Boston Legacy W vs Bay FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women Centreville Bank Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boston Legacy W play Bay FC W in the NWSL Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Boston Legacy W averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Bay FC W averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Boston Legacy W won 0, Bay FC W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Boston Legacy W and 0.94 for Bay FC W. This points to a Boston Legacy W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Boston Legacy W
28%
Draws
22%
Bay FC W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Boston Legacy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Boston Legacy W demonstrates higher offensive output (1.25 avg goals) than Bay FC W (0.38 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Boston Legacy W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NWSL Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Boston Legacy W Clean Sheet 20%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston Legacy W Bay FC W
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Boston Legacy W vs Bay FC W
2:2
May 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Boston Legacy W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston Legacy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amanda Gutierres
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bay FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lema K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston Legacy W 49 / 100
Bay FC W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston Legacy W Bay FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston Legacy W scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Bay FC W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Boston Legacy W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bay FC W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boston Legacy W VS Bay FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

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1San Diego Wave W1591521:1528
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3Portland Thorns FC W1583424:1627
4Gotham FC W1373315:824
5Utah Royals W1473421:1624
6Kansas City Current W1480621:2024
7North Carolina Courage W1363420:1621
8Orlando Pride W1462621:1920
9Angel City W1361620:1419
10Seattle Reign W1352613:1617
11Denver Summit W1243517:1615
12Bay FC W1343613:1915
13Houston Dash W1342715:2114
14Boston Legacy W1434715:2113
15Chicago Stars W1440108:2812
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267