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Boston Legacy W vs Portland Thorns FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, RI
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Match Events

2' Event
Tordin P.
6' Event
Wilson S.
Assist: Muller M.
10' Event
Tordin P.
Assist: Fleming J.

AI Match Summary

Portland Thorns FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Thorns FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Boston Legacy W
20%
Draws
29%
Portland Thorns FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boston Legacy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Portland Thorns FC W have won more games recently than Boston Legacy W.
  • Boston Legacy W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Boston Legacy W Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston Legacy W Portland Thorns FC W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Boston Legacy W
2:4
Aug 9, 2026 NWSL Women
Boston Legacy W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston Legacy W Compare

Top Goalscorer St.Georges B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Portland Thorns FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tordin P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Wilson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston Legacy W 47 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston Legacy W Portland Thorns FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boston Legacy W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Boston Legacy W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Portland Thorns FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Boston Legacy W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boston Legacy W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston Legacy W

(Home)
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4
Boston Legacy W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Boston Legacy W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3
Boston Legacy W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2
Boston Legacy W
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Portland Thorns FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4
Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4
Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2
Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)