Sport Picks
Boston River vs CA Cerro
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras 
Match Events
12'
12'
Cambon A.
33'
33'
Siri N.
36'
36'
Saravia Salvia R. A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Boston River and CA Cerro finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boston River
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Boston River come out ahead of CA Cerro on wins alone.
- Model gives Boston River a 43% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Boston River Clean Sheet 68%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boston River | CA Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs CA Cerro
1:1
May 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs CA Cerro
4:1
Feb 27, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Boston River
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Boston River
0:0
May 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs CA Cerro
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boston River Compare
Top Goalscorer Siri N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
CA Cerro Compare
Top Goalscorer Cambon A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boston River 59 / 100
CA Cerro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boston River CA Cerro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boston River Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Boston River scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
CA Cerro has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Difficult form: CA Cerro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Boston River VS CA Cerro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Boston River
(Home) 23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2 Fenix
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2 Progreso
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0 Colon
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2 Fenix
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2 Progreso
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0 Colon
29 Aug
Boston River
1 : 1 CA Cerro
14 Aug
Boston River
0 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 3
CA Cerro
(Away) 23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2 Maldonado
19 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2 Penarol
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3 CA Cerro
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2 Cerrito
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3 CA Cerro
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
29 Aug
Boston River
1 : 1 CA Cerro
21 Aug
Liverpool M.
4 : 0 CA Cerro
09 Aug
Danubio
0 : 1 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Progreso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Boston River | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 14 | Central Esp. | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
