Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boston River vs Colon

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Siri N.
65' Event
Avenatti F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Boston River
20%
Draws
36%
Colon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boston River

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Colon average 1.11 goals a game right now, well clear of Boston River's 1.1.
  • Win probability leans Boston River's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Boston River, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Boston River Clean Sheet 68%
Colon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston River Colon
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Boston River vs Colon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston River Compare

Top Goalscorer Siri N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avenatti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Colon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston River 50 / 100
Colon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston River Colon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boston River Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Boston River scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Boston River has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boston River VS Colon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston River

(Home)
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2
Progreso
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2
Boston River
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0
Colon
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

Colon

(Away)
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0
Colon
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
01 Sept
Colon
3 : 3
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Montevideo City 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Danubio 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Atenas 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rentistas 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Plaza Colonia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Defensor Sp. 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
4 Cerro Largo 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Cerrito 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 CA Cerro 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Wanderers 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Liverpool M. 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Fenix 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
4 Colon 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)