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Stadium Background

Boston River vs Fenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Babino L.
19' Event
Munoa F.
26' Event
De Armas N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Boston River
20%
Draws
29%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boston River

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Boston River have won more games recently than Fenix.
  • Win probability leans Boston River's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Boston River have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Boston River, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Boston River Clean Sheet 68%
Fenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston River Fenix
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Boston River vs Fenix
3:2
Sep 16, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Fenix
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Boston River
1:2
Nov 4, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Fenix
1:1
Mar 26, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Boston River
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston River Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saravia Salvia R. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Babino L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Armas N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston River 68 / 100
Fenix 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston River Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boston River Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston River's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fenix conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Boston River stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boston River VS Fenix
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston River

(Home)
04 Nov
San Carlos
0 : 2
Boston River
01 Nov
Boston River
1 : 2
Montevideo City
25 Oct
Cerro Largo
2 : 0
Boston River
17 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0
Defensor Sp.
14 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
31 Oct
Fenix
1 : 1
Cerrito
25 Oct
Atenas
4 : 0
Fenix
17 Oct
Fenix
0 : 1
Paysandu FC
11 Oct
Huracan FC
0 : 0
Fenix
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)