Sport Picks
Boston River vs Liverpool M.
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras 
Match Events
6'
6'
Fernandez I.
15'
15'
Martinez F.
22'
22'
Acosta L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Boston River and Liverpool M. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liverpool M..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool M.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Liverpool M. carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Boston River taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Liverpool M. have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Boston River Clean Sheet 17%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boston River | Liverpool M. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Boston River
1:0
Sep 2, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Liverpool M. vs Boston River
0:1
Jun 1, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Liverpool M.
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Liverpool M.
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Boston River
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boston River Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Liverpool M. Compare
Top Goalscorer Acosta L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boston River 36 / 100
Liverpool M. 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boston River Liverpool M.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Boston River found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Liverpool M. let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Boston River went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Boston River VS Liverpool M.
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Boston River
(Home) 23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2 Fenix
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2 Progreso
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0 Colon
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2 Fenix
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2 Progreso
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0 Colon
29 Aug
Boston River
1 : 1 CA Cerro
14 Aug
Boston River
0 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 3
Liverpool M.
(Away) 23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0 Colon
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1 Boston River
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
27 Aug
Fenix
0 : 2 Liverpool M.
16 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 4 Liverpool M.
02 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 0 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
