Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boston United vs Birmingham U21

England England

National League Cup Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston
Boston United Logo

Boston United

2 - 3
FT
Birmingham U21 Logo

Birmingham U21

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Bamba S.
37' Event
Aboh K.
Assist: Holmes J.
46'
Sub
Sachdev S. In: Mcbride C.
Out: Sachdev S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Boston United
35%
Draws
40%
Birmingham U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Birmingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Boston United have won more games recently than Birmingham U21.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Birmingham U21 taking it.
  • Boston United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Birmingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Boston United Clean Sheet 11%
Birmingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston United Birmingham U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.34 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Boston United vs Birmingham U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aboh K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wheeldon L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Birmingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reilly C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McGreevy F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston United 27 / 100
Birmingham U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston United Birmingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birmingham U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham U21 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Boston United scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Boston United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boston United VS Birmingham U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston United

(Home)
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1
Woking
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3
Wealdstone
08 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
West Brom U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2
Boston United
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0
Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Gillingham U21
0 : 4
Birmingham U21
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2
Birmingham U21
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
31 Aug
Tottenham U21
3 : 3
Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 Scunthorpe 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
4 Wolves U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
5 Derby U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
8 Stoke City U21 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Norwich U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
3 Braintree 2 1 0 1 3:2 4
4 Hornchurch 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
5 Fulham U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
6 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 1:4 2
7 Worthing FC 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
8 Aldershot 2 0 0 2 2:5 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Everton U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
4 Tamworth 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
5 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Newcastle Utd U21 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
7 Solihull Moors 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
8 Hartlepool 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Birmingham U21 2 2 0 0 4:3 5
3 West Brom U21 2 2 0 0 1:0 5
4 Woking 2 1 0 1 4:1 4
5 Sutton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
6 Leicester U21 2 0 0 2 1:4 1
7 Boston United 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
8 Southampton U21 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)