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Boston United vs Gateshead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boston United host Gateshead in the National League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Boston United at 1.18 goals for, 1.54 against; Gateshead at 1.07 for, 2.14 against. Past meetings favor Boston United slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.25, favoring Boston United. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Boston United
15%
Draws
0%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boston United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Boston United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Boston United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Boston United Clean Sheet 19%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston United Gateshead
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.18 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 National League
Boston United vs Gateshead
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Boston United
1:3
Apr 26, 2025 National League
Boston United vs Gateshead
2:1
Jan 4, 2025 FA Trophy
Gateshead vs Boston United
1:3
Sep 24, 2024 National League
Gateshead vs Boston United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston United 31 / 100
Gateshead 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston United Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boston United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gateshead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Gateshead registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Boston United scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Boston United VS Gateshead
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston United

(Home)
10 Oct
Boston United
1 : 2
Southend
03 Oct
Yeovil
6 : 0
Boston United
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
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Gateshead

(Away)
10 Oct
Halifax
4 : 1
Gateshead
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2
Worthing FC
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1
Altrincham
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 13 11 2 0 34:13 35
2 Harrogate 13 9 1 3 29:17 28
3 Southend 13 8 3 2 31:19 27
4 Yeovil 13 7 4 2 32:15 25
5 Worthing FC 13 7 3 3 27:18 24
6 Altrincham 13 8 0 5 20:19 24
7 AFC Fylde 13 7 2 4 24:18 23
8 Barrow 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
9 Hornchurch 13 7 0 6 15:19 21
10 Halifax 13 6 2 5 22:15 20
11 Kidderminster 13 5 5 3 15:12 20
12 Aldershot 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
13 Sutton 13 5 3 5 14:18 18
14 Carlisle 13 4 5 4 23:20 17
15 Woking 13 4 3 6 20:20 15
16 Forest Green 12 4 3 5 19:22 15
17 Eastleigh 13 4 3 6 14:20 15
18 Tamworth 13 4 2 7 21:30 14
19 Wealdstone 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
20 Hartlepool 13 4 0 9 12:19 12
21 Boston United 13 3 3 7 15:23 12
22 Scunthorpe 12 3 1 8 15:21 10
23 Solihull Moors 13 2 1 10 13:35 7
24 Gateshead 13 1 1 11 8:31 4
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