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Boston United vs Hornchurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Powell J.
33'
Inniss R.
34' Event
Aboh K.
Assist: Agyemang T.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Boston United and Hornchurch finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hornchurch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Boston United
15%
Draws
51%
Hornchurch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hornchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hornchurch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Boston United Clean Sheet 16%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston United Hornchurch
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.18 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League
Boston United vs Hornchurch
2:3
Nov 13, 2004 FA Cup
Boston United vs Hornchurch
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aboh K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sachdev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelman B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston United 31 / 100
Hornchurch 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston United Hornchurch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hornchurch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Boston United's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hornchurch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Hornchurch registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boston United VS Hornchurch
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston United

(Home)
10 Oct
Boston United
1 : 2
Southend
03 Oct
Yeovil
6 : 0
Boston United
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
Page 1 of 6

Hornchurch

(Away)
10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0
Eastleigh
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2
Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0
Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0
Hornchurch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 13 11 2 0 34:13 35
2 Harrogate 13 9 1 3 29:17 28
3 Southend 13 8 3 2 31:19 27
4 Yeovil 13 7 4 2 32:15 25
5 Worthing FC 13 7 3 3 27:18 24
6 Altrincham 13 8 0 5 20:19 24
7 AFC Fylde 13 7 2 4 24:18 23
8 Barrow 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
9 Hornchurch 13 7 0 6 15:19 21
10 Halifax 13 6 2 5 22:15 20
11 Kidderminster 13 5 5 3 15:12 20
12 Aldershot 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
13 Sutton 13 5 3 5 14:18 18
14 Carlisle 13 4 5 4 23:20 17
15 Woking 13 4 3 6 20:20 15
16 Forest Green 12 4 3 5 19:22 15
17 Eastleigh 13 4 3 6 14:20 15
18 Tamworth 13 4 2 7 21:30 14
19 Wealdstone 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
20 Hartlepool 13 4 0 9 12:19 12
21 Boston United 13 3 3 7 15:23 12
22 Scunthorpe 12 3 1 8 15:21 10
23 Solihull Moors 13 2 1 10 13:35 7
24 Gateshead 13 1 1 11 8:31 4
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