Sport Picks
Boston United vs Newcastle Utd U21
England
National League Cup 2025/2026 Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston 
Match Events
16'
16'
Neave S.
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Neave S.
Assist: Bailey S.
40'
40'
Neave S.
Assist: Park Seung-soo
AI Match Summary
Newcastle Utd U21 in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boston United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Boston United lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Utd U21.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Boston United taking it.
- Boston United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Boston United Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boston United | Newcastle Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2025 National League Cup
Boston United vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:3
Dec 3, 2024 National League Cup
Boston United vs Newcastle Utd U21
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boston United Compare
Top Goalscorer Maguire F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Newcastle Utd U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Neave S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boston United 67 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boston United Newcastle Utd U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boston United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Newcastle Utd U21 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Boston United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Boston United VS Newcastle Utd U21
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
1 Goals Conceded 2.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Boston United
(Home) 12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3 Wealdstone
08 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1 West Brom U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2 Boston United
31 Aug
Boston United
2 : 3 Hornchurch
27 Aug
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Boston United
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3 Wealdstone
08 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1 West Brom U21
31 Aug
Boston United
2 : 3 Hornchurch
22 Aug
Boston United
1 : 0 Altrincham
18 Aug
Boston United
2 : 3 Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 4
Newcastle Utd U21
(Away) 08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4 Fulham U21
24 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
