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Boston United vs Southend Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boston United host Southend in the National League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Southend have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Boston United have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.24. Past meetings favor Boston United slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (1.56 - 2.19) back Southend to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Boston United
35%
Draws
40%
Southend
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Southend

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southend come out ahead of Boston United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Southend's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Boston United Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston United Southend
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.24 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National League
Boston United vs Southend
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 National League
Southend vs Boston United
1:1
Mar 25, 2025 National League
Boston United vs Southend
3:0
Aug 20, 2024 National League
Southend vs Boston United
2:0
Jan 12, 2005 League Two
Boston United vs Southend
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston United 22 / 100
Southend 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston United Southend

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southend Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Southend conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Boston United scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Boston United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boston United VS Southend
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston United

(Home)
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1
Woking
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

Southend

(Away)
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Southend
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4
Barrow
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Southend 11 6 3 2 26:17 21
4 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 11 5 2 4 13:15 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Eastleigh 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
15 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Tamworth 11 3 2 6 19:28 11
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
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