Sport Picks

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Boston United vs York City

England England

National League Jakemans Community Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boston United play York City in the National League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Boston United averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. York City averaged 2.43 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. In past meetings, Boston United won 2, York City won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Boston United and 1.75 for York City. This points to a York City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Boston United
19%
Draws
51%
York City
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Boston United picked up more points recently compared to York City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Boston United Clean Sheet 12%
York City Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston United York City
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 22
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.57 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League
Boston United vs York City
0:1
Dec 26, 2025 National League
York City vs Boston United
2:2
Jan 25, 2025 National League
Boston United vs York City
3:1
Aug 26, 2024 National League
York City vs Boston United
0:2
May 21, 2022 National League North
York City vs Boston United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Brookes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston United 29 / 100
York City 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston United York City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: York City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boston United attacking → ← attacking York City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston United scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

York City let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Boston United went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

York City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 69
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234