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Botafogo ASF vs Estanciano EC

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Botafogo ASF Logo

Botafogo ASF

2 - 2
FT
Estanciano EC Logo

Estanciano EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between Botafogo ASF and Estanciano EC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Botafogo ASF
20%
Draws
60%
Estanciano EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Botafogo ASF haven't matched Estanciano EC's recent run of results.
  • Estanciano EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Botafogo ASF Clean Sheet 11%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo ASF Estanciano EC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Sergipano 3
Botafogo ASF vs Estanciano EC
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Botafogo ASF vs Estanciano EC
1:2
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
Estanciano EC vs Botafogo ASF
1:1
Apr 8, 2017 Sergipano
Estanciano EC vs Botafogo ASF
3:0
Mar 18, 2017 Sergipano
Botafogo ASF vs Estanciano EC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo ASF 10 / 100
Estanciano EC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo ASF Estanciano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estanciano EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Botafogo ASF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Botafogo ASF scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Estanciano EC conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo ASF VS Estanciano EC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo ASF

(Home)
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

Estanciano EC

(Away)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)