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Botafogo DF vs Ceilandense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2010
Botafogo DF Logo

Botafogo DF

1 - 0
FT
Ceilandense Logo

Ceilandense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2010 game between Botafogo DF and Ceilandense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo DF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Botafogo DF
15%
Draws
85%
Ceilandense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceilandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo DF come out ahead of Ceilandense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ceilandense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo DF Ceilandense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.43 0.5
Goals Conceded 4.29 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.29 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF
3:0
Feb 16, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF
3:3
Mar 12, 2011 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Ceilandense
2:1
Feb 2, 2011 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF
1:2
Apr 11, 2010 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Ceilandense
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo DF 10 / 100
Ceilandense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo DF Ceilandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Botafogo DF's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ceilandense has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Ceilandense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo DF VS Ceilandense
0.43 Goals Scored 0.5
4.29 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 25%
71% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo DF

(Home)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
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Ceilandense

(Away)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 7 3 4 25:14 24
2 Ceilandense 14 7 3 4 17:16 24
3 Ceilandia 14 6 4 4 16:15 22
4 Botafogo DF 14 5 6 3 18:15 21
5 Gama 14 4 8 2 24:16 20
6 Brasilia FC (DF) 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
7 Real Brasilia 14 3 5 6 15:19 14
8 Luziania 14 2 4 8 10:24 10
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2010 (Second stage)