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Botafogo DF vs Gama

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gama in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Botafogo DF
15%
Draws
85%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gama have won more games recently than Botafogo DF.
  • Win probability leans Gama's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 17%
Gama Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo DF Gama
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 1.2 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.73 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2013 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Gama
1:4
Feb 23, 2012 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Gama
3:1
Apr 16, 2011 Brasiliense
Gama vs Botafogo DF
1:0
Apr 10, 2011 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Gama
0:1
Mar 5, 2011 Brasiliense
Gama vs Botafogo DF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo DF 10 / 100
Gama 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo DF Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo DF found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Gama has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Gama has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gama
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo DF

(Home)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
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Gama

(Away)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 6 4 0 2 9:8 12
2 Brasiliense 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Bosque Formosa 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
4 Botafogo DF 6 1 0 5 6:9 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 (Play Offs)