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Botafogo PB vs Campinense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Danilo Mariotto
21' Event
Jo Santos
22' Event
Thallyson

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between Botafogo PB and Campinense finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Botafogo PB
15%
Draws
46%
Campinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Campinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo PB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Botafogo PB a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraibano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%
Campinense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Campinense
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 19 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.51 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Paraibano
Campinense vs Botafogo PB
4:1
Feb 9, 2025 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Campinense
4:1
Jan 31, 2024 Paraibano
Campinense vs Botafogo PB
0:0
Apr 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Botafogo PB vs Campinense
2:0
Apr 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Campinense vs Botafogo PB
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilo Mariotto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thallyson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Campinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Jo Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 51 / 100
Campinense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Campinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botafogo PB scored in 74% of their last 39 outings.

Defensive concern: Campinense conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo PB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
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Campinense

(Away)
08 Mar
Campinense
0 : 2
Sousa
28 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
Campinense
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
18 Feb
Campinense
1 : 1
Sousa
14 Feb
Campinense
1 : 0
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)