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Botafogo PB vs CSP

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Bruno Mota
60'
Tenorio J.
64' Event
Wendel Lomar
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2024 game between Botafogo PB and CSP finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Botafogo PB
20%
Draws
42%
CSP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo PB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Botafogo PB have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 16%
CSP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB CSP
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs CSP
2:1
Feb 13, 2023 Paraibano
CSP vs Botafogo PB
0:1
Jan 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Botafogo PB vs CSP
2:3
Feb 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Botafogo PB vs CSP
2:1
Jul 28, 2020 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs CSP
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Mota
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Leite
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CSP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 30 / 100
CSP 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB CSP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

CSP let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo PB went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
08 Aug
Botafogo PB
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 7

CSP

(Away)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 9 7 0 2 18:6 21
2 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Botafogo PB 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
4 Sousa 9 4 2 3 11:6 14
5 CSP 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
6 Campinense 9 3 2 4 6:10 11
7 Nacional PB 9 3 1 5 7:10 10
8 Pombal 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
9 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 1 1 7 4:22 4
10 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 2 4 8:8 -2
Promotion - Paraibano 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2025 (Main)