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Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Nene
36'
Eliandro
45'
Octavio

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Botafogo PB and Floresta EC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Botafogo PB
15%
Draws
54%
Floresta EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Floresta EC haven't matched Botafogo PB's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 20%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Floresta EC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.41 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
1:2
May 11, 2025 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
2:3
Apr 21, 2024 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Botafogo PB
1:2
Jun 4, 2023 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Thalisson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 32 / 100
Floresta EC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Floresta EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Floresta EC has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Botafogo PB stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Floresta EC
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
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Floresta EC

(Away)
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Ferroviaria 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
3 Internacional de Limeira 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
4 Paysandu PA 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Maringa FC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Floresta EC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Botafogo PB 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)