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Botafogo PB vs Nacional PB Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Thallyson In: Igor Maduro
Out: Thallyson
11' Event
Danilo Mariotto
24'
Renie

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB in this Paraibano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Botafogo PB
35%
Draws
39%
Nacional PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nacional PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo PB have won more games recently than Nacional PB.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Botafogo PB have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Nacional PB
Matches Played 48 29
Wins 22 8
Draws 12 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Botafogo PB
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Nacional PB
4:2
Feb 19, 2024 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Nacional PB
2:0
Mar 12, 2023 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Botafogo PB
0:2
Apr 26, 2022 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Nacional PB
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Maduro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Danilo Mariotto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogerio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones Carioca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 42 / 100
Nacional PB 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Nacional PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional PB let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Botafogo PB found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (48 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Botafogo PB stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 10

Nacional PB

(Away)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)