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Botafogo PB vs Pombal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Igor Maduro
22'
Jailson
23'
Sub
Guila In: Felipe Viotti
Out: Guila

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB in this Paraibano matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Botafogo PB
30%
Draws
33%
Pombal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botafogo PB lately — more wins on the board than Pombal.
  • Model gives Botafogo PB a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraibano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Botafogo PB have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%
Pombal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Pombal
Matches Played 43 31
Wins 22 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.6 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Pombal
4:0
Jan 25, 2025 Paraibano
Pombal vs Botafogo PB
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Paraibano
Pombal vs Botafogo PB
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Maduro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pombal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 95 / 100
Pombal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Botafogo PB's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Solid form: Botafogo PB remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
08 Aug
Botafogo PB
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 9

Pombal

(Away)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)