Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo PB vs Serra Branca

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Franca
27'
Sub
PK In: Bull
Out: PK
46'
Sub
Ed Carlos In: Gustavo Balotelli
Out: Ed Carlos

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between Botafogo PB and Serra Branca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Botafogo PB
35%
Draws
32%
Serra Branca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo PB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Serra Branca
Matches Played 42 36
Wins 20 16
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Serra Branca
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Paraibano
Serra Branca vs Botafogo PB
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Serra Branca
1:1
Jan 29, 2025 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Serra Branca
1:1
Dec 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Botafogo PB vs Serra Branca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Serra Branca Compare

Top Goalscorer Franca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 41 / 100
Serra Branca 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Serra Branca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB scored in 76% of their last 42 games.

Serra Branca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Botafogo PB remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Serra Branca
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
08 Aug
Botafogo PB
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 9

Serra Branca

(Away)
12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Serra Branca
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1
Uberlandia
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)