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Botafogo PB vs Sousa

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Mateuzinho In: Kiko
Out: Mateuzinho
43'
Hebert
45'
Nene

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Botafogo PB
20%
Draws
29%
Sousa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo PB have won more games recently than Sousa.
  • Botafogo PB are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Botafogo PB have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%
Sousa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Sousa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Sousa vs Botafogo PB
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Sousa
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs Botafogo PB
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Sousa
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Sousa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 86 / 100
Sousa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Sousa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sousa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Botafogo PB remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Sousa
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

Sousa

(Away)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Serra Branca 2
Botafogo PB 3
Sousa 2
Campinense 1
Final
Botafogo PB 2
Sousa 1