Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo RJ U20 vs Boavista U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ U20 play Boavista U20 in the Copa Rio U20. Botafogo RJ U20 are favorites here. Recently, Botafogo RJ U20 averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. Boavista U20 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo RJ U20 won 3, Boavista U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Botafogo RJ U20 and 1.13 for Boavista U20. This points to a Botafogo RJ U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Botafogo RJ U20
18%
Draws
21%
Boavista U20
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Botafogo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ U20 picked up more points recently compared to Boavista U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Botafogo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 21%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ U20 Boavista U20
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 23 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Boavista U20
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
0:2
Apr 19, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Boavista U20
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Carioca U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Boavista U20
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Toledo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Boavista U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Cantarin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ U20 59 / 100
Boavista U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ U20 Boavista U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo RJ U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Botafogo RJ U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo RJ U20 attacking → ← attacking Boavista U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ U20 scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Boavista U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Botafogo RJ U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Boavista U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 25
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fluminense U20752017:217
2Bangu U2075029:415
3Botafogo RJ U20743019:315
4Portuguesa RJ U20731311:910
5Boavista U2073045:99
6Resende U2072238:178
7Olaria U2071153:134
8Volta Redonda U2070165:201
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America RJ U20760116:818
2Vasco U20750218:815
3Flamengo RJ U20740321:1012
4Sampaio Correa U20731311:1310
5Madureira U2073136:1010
6Nova Iguacu U2072146:127
7Cabofriense U2072147:187
8Marica U2071065:113