Sport Picks

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Botafogo RJ U20 vs Boavista U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kauan Toledo
7' Event
Pedro Cantarin
31' Event
Bernardo Valim
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Botafogo RJ U20
15%
Draws
37%
Boavista U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Botafogo RJ U20's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Botafogo RJ U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo RJ U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Botafogo RJ U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Botafogo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ U20 Boavista U20
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 23 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.74 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Boavista U20
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
0:2
Apr 19, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Boavista U20
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Carioca U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Boavista U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Toledo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Boavista U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Cantarin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ U20 59 / 100
Boavista U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ U20 Boavista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo RJ U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botafogo RJ U20 scored in 82% of their last 38 outings.

Boavista U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo RJ U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ U20 VS Boavista U20
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
09 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
04 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Aug
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 1
Volta Redonda U20
Page 1 of 8

Boavista U20

(Away)
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
13 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Boavista U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1
Boavista U20
05 Sept
Boavista U20
2 : 2
Marica U20
22 Aug
Boavista U20
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 7 5 2 0 17:2 17
2 Bangu U20 7 5 0 2 9:4 15
3 Botafogo RJ U20 7 4 3 0 19:3 15
4 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:9 10
5 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 Resende U20 7 2 2 3 8:17 8
7 Olaria U20 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
8 Volta Redonda U20 7 0 1 6 5:20 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RJ U20 7 6 0 1 16:8 18
2 Vasco U20 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
3 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 0 3 21:10 12
4 Sampaio Correa U20 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
5 Madureira U20 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
6 Nova Iguacu U20 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Cabofriense U20 7 2 1 4 7:18 7
8 Marica U20 7 1 0 6 5:11 3
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)