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Botafogo RJ U20 vs Corinthians U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ U20 play Corinthians U20 in the Brasileiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botafogo RJ U20 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Corinthians U20 averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo RJ U20 won 0, Corinthians U20 won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 7, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Botafogo RJ U20 and 1.56 for Corinthians U20. This points to a Botafogo RJ U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Botafogo RJ U20
35%
Draws
31%
Corinthians U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botafogo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ U20 picked up more points recently compared to Corinthians U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Botafogo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ U20 Corinthians U20
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Corinthians U20
1:1
Apr 1, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Corinthians U20
2:2
Jul 4, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Corinthians U20
2:3
Apr 27, 2023 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
1:0
Oct 12, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Corinthians U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel Caldas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Corinthians U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ U20 34 / 100
Corinthians U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ U20 Corinthians U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botafogo RJ U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo RJ U20 attacking → ← attacking Corinthians U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Corinthians U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Botafogo RJ U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Corinthians U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 46
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515