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Botafogo RJ U20 vs Gremio U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ U20 play Gremio U20 in the Brasileiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botafogo RJ U20 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Gremio U20 averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo RJ U20 won 3, Gremio U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Botafogo RJ U20 and 1.13 for Gremio U20. This points to a Botafogo RJ U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Botafogo RJ U20
6%
Draws
4%
Gremio U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botafogo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gremio U20.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Botafogo RJ U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Brasileiro U20 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Botafogo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ U20 Gremio U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Gremio U20
1:0
Jul 2, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Gremio U20
4:0
Apr 4, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Gremio U20
1:2
Jun 27, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Gremio U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
0:2
Sep 26, 2020 Brasileiro U20
Gremio U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardo Valim
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Gremio U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ U20 85 / 100
Gremio U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ U20 Gremio U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Gremio U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Botafogo RJ U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gremio U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ U20 VS Gremio U20
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515