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Botafogo RJ U20 vs Marica U20

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Rhenan
45'
Kaua Branco
45'
Kaua Branco

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 2025 game between Botafogo RJ U20 and Marica U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marica U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Botafogo RJ U20
22%
Draws
18%
Marica U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Botafogo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo RJ U20 come out ahead of Marica U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Botafogo RJ U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Botafogo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Marica U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ U20 Marica U20
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Carioca U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Marica U20
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Marica U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Marica U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballalai Cerdeira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ U20 68 / 100
Marica U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ U20 Marica U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botafogo RJ U20 scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Marica U20 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Botafogo RJ U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ U20 VS Marica U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco U201182124:1026
2Flamengo RJ U201181227:925
3Botafogo RJ U201161419:1219
4Fluminense U201153314:1118
5Volta Redonda U201152414:2417
6Bangu U201143410:1415
7Marica U201142511:1314
8Portuguesa RJ U201141612:1013
9Sampaio Correa FE U201134414:1913
10Madureira U201133514:1912
11Nova Iguacu U20112279:178
12Boavista U201112810:205