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Botafogo RJ vs Bragantino Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Monzon L.
Own Goal
44'
Wallace Yan
48'
Sub
Villalba Jaume L. M. In: Barria K.
Out: Villalba Jaume L. M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Botafogo RJ and Bragantino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Botafogo RJ
30%
Draws
31%
Bragantino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Botafogo RJ have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 16%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ Bragantino
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Bragantino
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Botafogo RJ
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Bragantino
4:1
Aug 6, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Bragantino vs Botafogo RJ
0:1
Jul 29, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Botafogo RJ vs Bragantino
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bragantino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 36 / 100
Bragantino 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ Bragantino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bragantino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botafogo RJ scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Bragantino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Botafogo RJ stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Bragantino
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
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Bragantino

(Away)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Bragantino
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0
Gremio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)