Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Botafogo RJ

1 - 1

Caracas

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Quissanga B.

43'

Correa W.

46'

Sub

Matheus Martins In: Arthur Cabral

Out: Matheus Martins

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Sudamericana tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Botafogo RJ

Draws

Caracas

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botafogo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Botafogo RJ lately — more wins on the board than Caracas.
90% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo RJ taking it.
Botafogo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%

Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Caracas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botafogo RJ	Caracas
Matches Played	27	24
Wins	14	6
Draws	6	10
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.25	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Caracas vs Botafogo RJ

1:3

Apr 9, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Botafogo RJ vs Caracas

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Cabral

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Correa W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 95 / 100

Caracas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botafogo RJ Caracas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Caracas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Botafogo RJ remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Caracas

1.25 Goals Scored 0.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)

26 Jul

Cruzeiro

0 : 1

Botafogo RJ

23 Jul

Botafogo RJ

0 : 0

Vitoria

16 Jul

Botafogo RJ

2 : 1

Santos

30 May

Bahia

2 : 1

Botafogo RJ

27 May

Caracas

1 : 3

Botafogo RJ

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Caracas

(Away)

31 Jul

Caracas

0 : 3

Santa Fe

24 Jul

Santa Fe

2 : 0

Caracas

24 Jun

Caracas

1 : 1

Aragua

27 May

Caracas

1 : 3

Botafogo RJ

22 May

Racing Club

2 : 2

Caracas

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