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Botafogo RJ vs Gremio Maringa Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie A 1979 Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Botafogo RJ Logo

Botafogo RJ

1 - 0
FT
Gremio Maringa Logo

Gremio Maringa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ in this Serie A 1979 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Botafogo RJ
35%
Draws
40%
Gremio Maringa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gremio Maringa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ have won more games recently than Gremio Maringa.
  • Gremio Maringa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ Gremio Maringa
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 1979 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Gremio Maringa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 16 / 100
Gremio Maringa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ Gremio Maringa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Maringa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Maringa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Botafogo RJ scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Botafogo RJ stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Maringa

(Away)
05 Oct
Gremio Maringa
3 : 0
City London
28 Sept
Gremio Maringa
1 : 1
CA Cambe
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3
Gremio Maringa
13 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 0
Gremio Maringa
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coritiba 7 5 1 1 11:3 11
2 Atletico-MG 7 4 2 1 9:5 10
3 Campinense 7 3 2 2 6:4 8
4 Francana 7 3 1 3 7:9 7
5 America RJ 7 2 2 3 14:9 6
6 Brasil de Pelotas 7 2 2 3 8:8 6
7 Colorado PR 7 2 1 4 9:11 5
8 Mixto 7 1 1 5 4:19 3
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 7 5 2 0 16:5 12
2 Sao Bento 7 4 1 2 11:12 9
3 Botafogo RJ 7 3 3 1 9:4 9
4 Joinville 7 3 2 2 8:9 8
5 Figueirense 6 1 4 1 4:4 6
6 Comercial MS 7 2 1 4 4:8 5
7 Gremio Maringa 6 1 1 4 4:9 3
8 ABC 5 0 0 5 3:8 0
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional 7 4 3 0 10:2 11
2 Athletico-PR 7 4 2 1 6:2 10
3 Desportiva Ferroviaria 7 4 1 2 10:8 9
4 Internacional de Limeira 7 2 4 1 7:4 8
5 Caldense 7 2 3 2 5:6 7
6 SC Sao Paulo 7 1 3 3 4:10 5
7 Anapolina 7 1 2 4 5:10 4
8 Goytacaz 7 1 0 6 3:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 7 5 2 0 14:2 12
2 Piracicaba 7 5 0 2 15:8 10
3 Gremio 7 5 0 2 9:5 10
4 Londrina 7 4 1 2 15:8 9
5 Santa Cruz 7 3 1 3 8:10 7
6 Bahia 7 2 0 5 4:11 4
7 Nautico 7 1 1 5 6:13 3
8 Gama 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco 7 5 2 0 14:1 12
2 Goias 7 4 3 0 12:3 11
3 America MG 7 2 4 1 6:5 8
4 Ceara 7 2 2 3 9:8 6
5 Várzea Grande EC 7 1 4 2 7:12 6
6 Botafogo PB 7 2 1 4 8:13 5
7 Central SC 7 1 2 4 6:9 4
8 ASA 7 1 2 4 7:18 4
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria 7 5 0 2 12:7 10
2 Uberlandia 7 4 2 1 8:5 10
3 Fluminense 7 3 4 0 18:6 10
4 Vila Nova FC 7 2 5 0 6:3 9
5 Campo Grande 7 2 2 3 10:7 6
6 XV de Jau 7 2 2 3 8:10 6
7 Maranhao 7 2 0 5 3:15 4
8 Itabaiana 7 0 1 6 4:16 1
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro 7 5 1 1 19:8 11
2 Comercial 7 4 1 2 8:6 9
3 Uberaba 7 3 2 2 7:5 8
4 CSA 7 3 1 3 5:6 7
5 Dom Bosco 7 3 0 4 8:11 6
6 Americano 7 2 2 3 8:11 6
7 Leonico 7 1 3 3 9:9 5
8 Villa Nova AC 7 2 0 5 6:14 4
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)